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Harvard Empirical Legal Studies Series feat. Tom Zur

November 4, 2022

2:00 pm - 3:00 pm

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WCC; 3007 Room

The law and economics literature on specific deterrence has long theorized that offenders rationally learn from being caught and sanctioned. This paper presents evidence from a randomized controlled trial showing that offenders learn differently when not being caught as compared to being caught, which we call a “non-occurrence bias.” This implies that the socially optimal level of investment in law enforcement should be lower than stipulated by rational choice theory, even on grounds of deterrence alone.

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November 4, 2022, 2:00 pm - 3:00 pm

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